统计研究

提升绿色创新绩效是培育发展新质生产力的动力源泉。本文在节能降碳目标约束下评价我国老工业基地和资源型城市绿色创新绩效，从深层次要素层面揭示绿色创新绩效增长潜力的来源，因地制宜探寻绿色创新绩效的提升路径。研究发现，全国老工业基地、资源型城市和复合型城市的绿色创新绩效整体偏低，且增长潜力主要源于提高碳排放绩效与降低投入冗余，促进城市创新要素集约高效利用是释放绿色创新绩效增长潜力的重要支点。在内源性提升路径上，全国老工业基地、资源型城市和复合型城市的绿色创新绩效呈现依靠技术进步的单轮驱动模式，而技术效率的下降是削弱绿色创新绩效增长内生动力的主要原因。在外源性提升路径上，北方地区老工业基地、资源型城市和复合型城市绿色创新绩效的提升受益于有为政府助力，而南方地区老工业基地、资源型城市和复合型城市绿色创新绩效的提升则更多依靠有效市场营造的创新环境，但均未形成有为政府和有效市场双向发力的驱动模式。本文为我国因地制宜发展新质生产力与补齐高质量发展短板提供参考依据。

Improving green innovation performance is an engine of power to cultivate and develop new-quality productivity. This paper evaluates the green innovation performance of old industrial bases and resource-based cities in China under the constraint of energy saving and carbon reduction, reveals the source of the growth potential of green innovation performance from the deep-seated factor level, and explores the improvement path of green innovation performance according to local conditions. It is found that the overall performance of green innovation in the old industrial bases, resource-based cities and compound cities of China is low, and its growth potential mainly comes from the improvement of innovation carbon emission performance and the reduction of investment redundancy. Promoting the intensive and efficient utilization of innovation factors in cities is the focus of releasing the growth potential of green innovation performance. In terms of endogenous improvement paths, the green innovation performance of old industrial bases, resource-based cities and compound cities in the whole country presents a single-wheel driving model relying on technological progress, and the decline of technical efficiency is the main reason for weakening the endogenous motivation of green innovation performance growth. In terms of exogenous improvement paths, the improvement of green innovation performance in the old industrial bases, resource-based cities and compound cities in the north regions has benefited from the assistance provided by the active government, while the improvement of green innovation performance in the old industrial bases, resource-based cities and compound cities in the south regions relies more on the innovation environment created by the effective market, but no place has yet formed the driving mode of both the active government and the effective market. This paper provides a reference for China to develop new-quality productivity and solve the shortcomings of high quality development according to local conditions.