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以数字技术驱动的数字化转型正在引发产业变革，而高技术产业是国家实施创新驱动发展战略的重要推动力量，研究数字化转型对高技术产业创新的影响具有重要意义。本文在分析数字化转型对高技术产业创新影响机制的基础上，利用我国省级面板数据展开实证研究，综合采用面板回归模型、面板门槛模型及贝叶斯向量自回归模型，分析数字化转型与高技术产业创新的线性关系、非线性关系及两者之间的动态互动关系。结果表明：数字化转型对创新产出具有积极的正向影响；从区域看，数字化转型对创新产出的正向影响在东、西部地区比较显著；当数字化转型水平较高时其对创新产出的正向影响更大；数字化转型对创新产出的正向影响随着创新产出的提高逐渐变小；当研发资本较低时数字化转型对创新产出的影响不显著；数字化转型与创新产出具有稳定的正向互动关系，就长期来看仍有待于进一步加强。本文建议因地制宜制定数字化发展策略，推动数字化转型区域协调发展；注重数字技术与产业发展的深度融合，强化数字化转型对创新产出的驱动作用；加大数字技术研发与应用力度，以科技创新加快数字化转型进程。
Abstract：Digital transformation driven by digital technology is triggering industrial change, and high-tech industry is an important driving force for the implementation of innovation-driven development strategy. It is of great significance to study the impact of digital transformation on the innovation of high-tech industry. Based on the construction of the impact mechanism of digital transformation on high-tech industry innovation, this paper carries out an empirical study by using China's inter-provincial panel data. Using the panel regression model, panel threshold model and Bayesian vector autoregressive model, this paper analyzes the linear, nonlinear and dynamic interactive relationships between digital transformation and high-tech industry innovation. The results show that regional digital transformation has a positive effect on innovation output. From a regional perspective, the positive impact of digital transformation on innovation output is more significant in the eastern and western regions of China. When the level of digital transformation is high, its positive impact on innovation output is greater. With the continuous improvement of innovation output, the positive impact of digital transformation on it becomes smaller and smaller. When the R&D capital is low, the impact of digital transformation on innovation output is not significant. There is a stable positive interaction between digital transformation and innovation output, but it still needs to strengthened in the long run. Finally we put forward corresponding countermeasures and suggestions: Formulate digital development strategies according to local conditions to promote the coordinated development of digital transformation in different regions; stress the deep integration of digital technology and industrial development, and strengthen the driving effect of digital transformation on innovation output; strengthen the R&D and application of digital technology, and accelerate the process of digital transformation with scientific and technological innovation.
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(1)数据来源：中国信息通信研究院官网，http://www.caict.ac.cn/kxyj/qwfb/bps/202304/t20230427_419051.htm。
(1)本文研究样本不包括我国港澳台地区和西藏。
(2)本文研究样本中，东部地区包括北京、天津、河北、辽宁、上海、江苏、浙江、福建、山东、广东、海南；中部地区包括山西、吉林、黑龙江、安徽、江西、河南、湖北、湖南；西部地区包括内蒙古、广西、重庆、四川、贵州、云南、陕西、甘肃、青海、宁夏、新疆。
(1)因篇幅所限，稳健性检验结果以附表1展示，见《统计研究》网站所列附件。
基本信息:
DOI：10.19343/j.cnki.11-1302/c.2023.10.008
中图分类号:F49;F276.44
引用信息:
[1]张矿伟,俞立平,张宏如等.数字化转型对高技术产业创新的影响机制与效应研究[J].统计研究,2023,40(10):96-108.DOI:10.19343/j.cnki.11-1302/c.2023.10.008.
基金信息:
国家社会科学基金重大项目“我国就业量质协调发展的动态监测与保障体系研究”（20&ZD128）